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So obviously there are ways this method can go wrong.
But it still produces better results than any other formula you could follow, whether you’re considering 10 suitors or 100. It should be pretty obvious that you want to start seriously looking to choose a candidate somewhere in the middle of the group.
You don’t want to marry the first person you meet, but you also don’t want to wait too long.
This can be a serious dilemma, especially for people with perfectionist tendencies.
And as you continue to date other people, no one will ever measure up to your first love, and you’ll end up rejecting everyone, and end up alone with your cats.
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If you do, you have a 50 percent chance of selecting the best.One problem is the suitors arrive in a random order, and you don’t know how your current suitor compares to those who will arrive in the future. (If you're into math, it’s actually 1/e, which comes out to 0.368, or 36.8 percent.) Then you follow a simple rule: You pick the next person who is better than anyone you’ve ever dated before.To apply this to real life, you’d have to know how many suitors you could potentially have or want to have — which is impossible to know for sure.You want to date enough people to get a sense of your options, but you don't want to leave the choice too long and risk missing your ideal match.
You need some kind of formula that balances the risk of stopping too soon against the risk of stopping too late.
The diagram below compares your success rate for selecting randomly among three suitors.
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